Research on the impact of possible developments in Russia now also in English


The English version of the report The Impact of Russia's Alternative Future Developments on Estonian Security by the Research Centre of the Internal Security Institute has been published.

The Russian Federation is itself in a state of flux as a result of the war of aggression. All the threats and opportunities have not yet necessarily materialised, but these changes will undoubtedly have an impact on the global security context. However, the impact is not evenly distributed, with Russia's neighbours coming under greater pressure. The study describes possible developments in Russia from disintegration to democratisation. Different scenarios pose different challenges and the most relevant factors from the Estonian perspective are highlighted here. It is necessary to monitor the processes in Russia in order to give Estonian society and state authorities a better starting position for risk management.

The authors of the research are Jüri Saar, Arnold Sinisalu, Ramon Loik, Erkki Koort, Kaide Tammel and Raul Savimaa.